Every study that shows that is fundamentally flawed. They show only that the number of people who have gotten caught is really small. The validity of any study where people are asked to self-report illegal behavior is very questionable. For example, suppose I set up a booth outside a mall and ask the people who leave whether they have shoplifted at the mall. They all say no. Our statistics say there is no shoplifting at the mall. But somehow 10% of the inventory goes missing each month. Voting studies are like that, only we have no way to check the inventory.

Another way to see it: vote cheating is easy and the odds of getting caught are very low. The current system is full of holes:

  1. Under Motor Voter, illegal aliens with bogus or stolen social security cards are allowed to check a box to register to vote at the time they are applying for a driver’s license. Once registered they can vote absentee. Or if they vote in person, their registration cannot be challenged on the basis of citizenship status without independent evidence of their citizenship in another country. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/us/illegal-voting-gets-texas-woman-8-years-in-prison-and-certain-deportation.htm. this story talks about how rare illegal voting is, but it really underscores how easy it is for illegals to vote and how hard it is to catch them.
  2. Mass ballot mailing and selective ballot harvesting and absentee ballot manipulation is rife with abuse and is used by both sides. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-20/why-democratic-vote-harvesting-will-be-biggest-topic-2020
  3. People move from one state to another and there is no systematic way in place to prevent duplicate registrations in different districts. If it’s getting late and it looks close, there is nothing to prevent me from walking in and trying to vote under the name of someone I know has moved away. Of course it’s a lot more organized than that.
  4. The dead still vote. There is no universal systematic purge of voter rolls based on death certificates.

When there’s a lot of easy ways to cheat, statistics on how few cheaters got caught don’t mean much.

Mathematician, Statistician, Businessman, and Academic. Student of history, poli sci , and the Bible.

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