Until that happens all these dire predictions of collapse are premature. We’ve been treated to several versions of “the end is near” and this latest variant is the least impressive one ever. With Y2k we were worried civilization as we know it would suddenly stop at midnight. With the oil crisis and the prediction of peak oil in 1979, we could see collapse waiting in long lines at gas stations. The bursting of the tech bubble and the Great Recession of 2007 were a lot more scary. You need blood in the water, not a subtle decline in stats, especially when some of them are advancing nicely.