You seem to have misunderstood the key point I was making. Let let me spell it out: Complexity is an argument against the Trump missile attack on Syria and against deeper involvement. In my view, before we intervene and especially before embarking on regime change, we need to have some strategy, some idea of what we are trying to accomplish and how we hope to achieve our goals in the face of opposition. A fair look at the last six years of our Syria policy must characterize it as a terrible failure. Our demand for regime change, our not so covert support for rebels dominated by Al Qaeda factions, our willful blindness to the threat of ISIS, our failure to foresee Russian intervention and so on have produced a bloody war of attrition that “our side” is losing even before there is any national consensus that we have a side in this fight.

We might be able to arrive at a diplomatic alliance of disparate parties to crush the ISIS caliphate in Iraq and Syria. However the US missile strikes against Syria military positions undercut that possibility and portend an ill-advised escalation leading to military intervention to achieve regime change. My point is that we should not be using military force against Syria because it is a very complex situation that could be made worse by application of force without forethought.

Mathematician, Statistician, Businessman, and Academic. Student of history, poli sci , and the Bible.

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